There is an obvious favorite in Group F, as there is in most previous groups in the FIFA World Cup. World Cup Group F odds see Belgium as the favorite at -195 to advance to the knockout stages. Also, at -900, they’re the odds-on favorite to win the final qualifying round.
Croatia has the second-best odds (+240) to win the tournament and (-200) to advance out of the group stage.
The odds for each group and each game are shown here as part of our effort to help you get ready for the World Cup. Also, find out who we believe will win the World Cup and the Golden Boot so you can put your money where our mouth is.
Outright Victory Odds in World Cup Group F
Chances of Completing the Group F Sweep
| Country | Odds |
|---|---|
| Belgium | -195 |
| Croatia | +240 |
| Morocco | +1100 |
| Canada | +1400 |
Odds as of July 22 at OKBET Sporstbook
Probabilities of advancing out of World Cup Group F
Probabilities of Making It Past the First Round of Group Play
| Country | Odds |
|---|---|
| Belgium | -900 |
| Croatia | -200 |
| Morocco | +210 |
| Canada | +275 |
Odds as of July 22 at OKBET Sporstbook
Bet on Belgium to Win Group F (-195)
After Brazil, Belgium is the best team in the world. Only two teams, the Czech Republic and Wales, held Roberto Martinez’s squad to a draw throughout qualifying.
The Belgians are well-equipped to go far in this competition. Thibaut Courtois is between the posts for them defensively. Since the 2018–19 season, Courtois has been Real Madrid’s goalkeeper, and he has posted an incredible 59 clean sheets (49.5%) and.768 save percentage with Los Blancos.
Kevin De Bruyne of Manchester City directs play from central midfield. De Bruyne is in the 99th percentile for progressive passes/90, touches in the offensive penalty area, shot-creating actions, and predicted assists among midfielders who have played at least 2,931 minutes in Europe’s major five leagues.
Romelu Lukaku is the primary danger up front for the team. Lukaku scored only eight goals in twenty-six appearances for Chelsea last season, but he racked up 47 in two seasons for Inter Milan (2019 and 2021). Slower tempos didn’t work for Chelsea, but the Belgian national team has found plenty of success with Lukaku (69 goals in 86 games).
The chances of Lukaku winning the World Cup Golden Boot are +1600, good for sixth best.
That’s a lot of talent in one place, and they’re all committed to making it farther than they did in 2018, when they were eliminated in the quarterfinals by eventual winner France.
Croatia is favored (+240) to win Group F.
According to the FIFA global rankings, Croatia is the fifteenth best national team. The 2018 runner-ups compete here in the hopes of reclaiming their title. The first step is to stop functioning as a group.
The statistics seem to favor them. The Croatians have the second-best odds (+240) to win the group and the second-best odds (-200) to make the playoffs.
In terms of possession, Croatia ranked seventh in European qualifying (66.3%), while their shooting accuracy rate (6.5 shots on target per 90 minutes) ranked seventh in Europe.
Some of Croatia’s more seasoned players, like as Real Madrid’s Luka Modric, who turns 37 in September, may not participate in another World Cup after this one. The Croatian team is on the older side, but that only means they’re more seasoned competitors.
Keep in mind that Croatia finished second in 2018 after they easily dispatched Argentina, Iceland, and Nigeria in the group stage. The quarterfinal victory against Russia was decided 4-3 on penalties, while the semifinal triumph over England was decided 2-1 after extra time.
Morocco has a +1100 chance to win Group F.
Since the 1990s, when they qualified for both the World Cup in 1994 in the United States and the World Cup in 1998 in France, this is the first time Morocco has qualified for consecutive World Cups.
In 2018, Morocco finished last in a group that also included Spain, Portugal, and Iran.
In 2018, Morocco’s defense was solid, as seen by the fact that they allowed no more than two goals in each of their group games. Morocco’s 2022 qualifying campaign relied heavily on their stout defensive play. They didn’t let in more than one goal in any of their six second-round games. The only one.
That defense must hold if Morocco is to get out of the group stage at the 2022 World Cup.
Canada is favored (+1400) in Group F.
Only Canada didn’t qualify for the 2018 World Cup in Russia. In 1986, Canada last qualified for the World Cup. Many Canadians will be seeing their national men’s team in action at this tournament for the first time.
With an 8-4-2 record in the third round of qualification, Canada was the best team in the CONCACAF zone. The 49 goals scored by John Herdman’s squad were the most in the area. Their tempo and pushing are a well-balanced package.
It will be tough to break away from the pack. The odds of Canada winning are +435 versus Belgium and +235 against Croatia. If you were to wager $100 on either result, you would win $670.
The Canadians would need to beat an experienced Moroccan team and hope for favorable results elsewhere to advance. It’s not impossible, but you’ll have to work really hard.
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